Journal
The weekly profile, framing the week
A trending week usually sets its extreme in the first two days, and that frame decides how much I trust each daily bias after.
Zoom out far enough and a week trades like a single candle. It has an open, it builds toward a high and a low, and it closes somewhere that tells you what actually won. I do not trade off the weekly chart directly, but I frame every day inside it, because the daily bias I carry into New York each morning is really just a guess about which part of that larger candle today is building.
In a trending week, the weekly low or high tends to form early, inside the first couple of days, and the rest of the week spends its time moving away from that extreme rather than building a new one. That is the shape I look for before I lean hard on any daily bias: has the week already made its extreme, or is it still deciding.
The daily bias is a guess about which part of the larger candle today is building.
02 / Monday and Tuesday
The first two days set the frame.
The first two days of the week do more work than any other two days combined. They are where the week's initial range gets built, the high and low that everything after either respects or breaks. I watch Monday and Tuesday less for a trade and more for a frame: which side got run, which side held, and whether the close by Tuesday is starting to lean.
A week that opens, runs one direction hard through Monday and Tuesday, and holds that direction into Wednesday is telling me the extreme is probably already in. A week that chops through both days without committing is telling me nothing yet, and on those weeks I hold my daily bias looser, because the higher timeframe has not actually decided. It is a lens, not a rule that fires the same way every week.
03 / Midweek reversals
Wednesday is where weeks quietly flip.
The early-week range gets one more test, often a run beyond it that looks like continuation, and instead reverses, and the back half of the week ends up trading opposite what Monday and Tuesday suggested. I do not treat a Monday to Tuesday lean as fixed. I treat it as the current best guess, one that a clean midweek reversal is allowed to overturn.
The tell is the same one I would use on any smaller timeframe: does the move beyond the early-week extreme actually hold, or does it get swept and closed back through. A Wednesday push that runs the Monday to Tuesday high and then cannot hold it is the higher timeframe doing exactly what a daily chart does inside a session, manipulating the obvious side before showing the real direction.
04 / Feeding the daily bias
It shows up as conviction.
Once I have a sense of where the weekly extreme sits, or where it is likely still forming, that becomes part of the draw I carry into each day's analysis. A daily bias that agrees with the weekly frame gets more conviction from me. A daily bias that fights it gets treated as counter-trend, tradeable maybe, but smaller, and with a shorter leash on how long I stay in it.
This is conceptual by design. I am not trying to predict which day of the week does what. I am trying to know, walking into any given Wednesday or Thursday, whether the week has already told me its answer or is still asking the question. Most of the value in framing the week never shows up as a trade of its own. It shows up as conviction, or the lack of it, in the trades I take on the days beneath it.